Assuming you are a miner who is opposed to Segwit, does UASF BIP 148 provide you with an incentive to trigger MASF? I am under the impression that the optimal play would be to just wait and see if the UASF has enough support, and simply switch over to that chain at the point when the risk is deemed to high to continue mining on the other chain. You may lose a few days mining revenues doing so, but this price may be deemed small in the big scheme of things.

So my impression is a miner opposed to Segwit is unlikely to cave in prior to 1st of August. Is this correct?